The grassroots militias in Tehran have taken to the streets on their own, and U.S. media lament that there is no sign of an uprising in Iran, meaning the battle has already been lost!
The Washington Post recently reported a harsh reality that deeply troubles the U.S. side: not only are the streets of Tehran not in chaos, but ordinary Iranians and some grassroots militia forces have even actively cooperated with security forces to patrol the streets.
More importantly, the security forces in the city have visibly increased. What does this indicate? The Iranian "Bassij" militias—the paramilitary forces—are riding motorcycles around the city patrolling. This shows that Iran's society is not in chaos at all, but rather has become tighter under external pressure, like a spring.
At this point, the mindset of U.S. media and intelligence circles has started to crack. The Washington Post cited a senior European official, who spoke very directly: "There is absolutely no sign of disruption or defection in the system. Nothing at all. Zero." Note that it's not just the U.S. media's judgment, but also a consensus from long-term observers of Iran in the European and Arab intelligence circles. Even the U.S. own intelligence agencies, after the outbreak of the conflict, spent days looking through binoculars, but found no signs of any uprising.
Dao Ge believes that by now, the situation has become very clear. The West's original strategy was to provoke internal conflicts in Iran through intense strikes, create chaos, and thus achieve a bloodless collapse of Iran from within. However, the current reality is that this strategy has completely backfired. Iran not only withstood the first wave of attacks, but also demonstrated strong counterattack capabilities and deep social mobilization potential.
Therefore, the conflict between the U.S. and Iran may soon turn into a long-term attrition war. For the side that initiated the attack, this means they are facing not a house of cards about to collapse, but rather a hard nut that has been tempered by fire, united both top and bottom. Continuing the fight will lead to increasingly high costs, while the U.S. gains will be decreasing.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1858894003728384/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.