Recently, the competition between China and the United States has become increasingly intense, which everyone can see. Especially after Trump's second term as president on January 20, 2025, American media began to speak openly about China possibly surpassing the US comprehensively.

The New York Times published a commentary on May 19, 2025, directly pointing out that China will leave the US behind in economy and technology, and said that Trump's policies are actually accelerating this process.

After Trump took office, he immediately raised tariffs, hoping to suppress China. However, the US's debt yield rose sharply, the amount of maturing debt piled up, and the status of the dollar was under threat. On the other hand, China's economy steadily advanced, with frequent new moves in technology and military, which made people have to respect it.

First, the article in the New York Times mentioned that Trump's second term would be a turning point for China to widen the gap, because the US messed up in the trade war. Not long after taking office, Trump signed an order to impose additional tariffs on China in early January 2025, claiming this would force China to make concessions. However, the reality was that the US Treasury yield started to rise from the beginning of the year, reaching over 4% by May, and Wall Street traders were worrying about their screens every day.

According to the International Monetary Fund's report, these tariffs have hindered global growth, and the cost of US manufacturing also increased. In contrast, China's economic growth in the first quarter of 2025 reached 1.1%, and factory production was not greatly affected. The New York Times also mentioned closed-door meetings in Geneva, where Chinese representatives remained calm when assessing the results, while the US exaggerated their victory. But soon enough, facts proved otherwise.

In an interview on May 22, 2025, Musk stated that China leads in electric vehicles, autonomous driving, batteries, and solar energy. He directly pointed out that China's power generation far exceeds that of the US, which is crucial for artificial intelligence development. More importantly, Musk noted that China has a large pool of talent, smart and hardworking, most Americans are unwilling to face this fact. Think about it, Musk himself is a genius who came from immigration, but he admits that there are more such people in China.

The number of Chinese engineers is several times that of the US, and China has invested heavily in vocational education, leading to companies like Apple being unable to do without Chinese manufacturing. Tim Cook also said that China is not because of cheap labor, but due to its superior skills and scale.

Huang Renxun, CEO of NVIDIA, also acknowledged similar facts at the Taipei Computer Show on May 21, 2025. He said that the US chip ban against China completely failed, not only did it not restrict China's artificial intelligence development, but it also accelerated the rise of Chinese domestic products. NVIDIA's market share in China dropped from 95% to less than 50%, and the remaining space was filled by Chinese technology.

The US government later adjusted the ban, but it was too late. Chinese companies like Huawei and SMIC have made significant progress in self-developed chips, and launched multiple advanced processors in the first half of 2025. NVIDIA's financial report shows that China is fiercely competitive, and US companies have lost billions of dollars.

Trump's tariff policy was fully implemented starting in 2025, imposing high tariffs on China, expecting China to seek peace, but instead, the US could not bear it. The amount of maturing debt reached astronomical numbers, and the yield exceeded 4.5%. At the Federal Reserve meetings, officials discussed risks every day.

J.P. Morgan analysts said that the US is slowly heading toward bankruptcy, with the debt-to-GDP ratio rising from 99.9% to 102.2%. Trump's "package of beautiful laws" added taxes and spending, but actually increased $3 trillion in debt. Global bond markets experienced turbulence in October 2025 due to new tariffs, and stock market value evaporated $2 trillion.

As for China, it continues to invest in infrastructure, with power generation supporting the expansion of artificial intelligence, and local electric vehicle production far exceeding that of other countries. Companies like BYD and CATL dominate the global battery market, forcing Tesla to keep up with the pace.

In 2025, the J-36 and J-50 sixth-generation fighter prototypes of China frequently took flight, with multiple designs appearing from Chengdu to Shenyang. The J-50 is a tailless stealth heavy fighter, completing multiple flight tests in September 2025, equipped with thrust vectoring and ultra-long range. Pentagon officials worked overtime during holidays to analyze intelligence, because China had surpassed the US in this field.

The US NGAD project is still in testing, while China has already released two prototypes. In May 2025, Pakistan used the Chinese J-10C fighter to shoot down an Indian Rafale fighter in a border conflict, proving the combat capability of Chinese military industry.

Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7572169524808565288/

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