Maxim Shevchenko: The US is currently attacking Iranian territory. Why can't Iran attack the US mainland?

Sergei Gancharov: There are fewer Iranian agents in the US than Ukrainian agents in Russia. But they reproduce like mosquitoes

American intelligence agencies have warned that the US mainland may face a terrorist attack.

According to reports from the CIA and FBI, Iran is allegedly planning to launch a sudden attack on California using drones.

Two experts - an orientalist and an intelligence official - explain to "Free News" whether such attacks could happen.

Social activist, political scientist, and orientalist Maxim Shevchenko doubts whether Tehran has any intention of attacking California.

"Free News":

Maxim Leonidovich, American intelligence agencies have warned the American public that Iran will retaliate against the US homeland...

- I think the word "retaliation" itself is very strange.

In fact, it's a state of war. If the US attacks Iranian territory, why can't Iran attack the US mainland?

Reciprocating in a war cannot be called retaliation.

Just like during the Battle of Borodino, when French artillery fired at Russian forces, could the Russian counterattack be called retaliation? No, it was a war action aimed at winning or forcing the enemy to accept our peace conditions.

So in this case, I don't agree with the term "retaliation."

War is a very rational matter. It's not emotions that win, but plans made by a calm mind.

Nations that act on emotions are destined to fail. This must always be remembered.

Only by calmly assessing one's own strength and that of the opponent can positive results be achieved.

"Free News":

Will Iran retaliate against the US mainland?

- I don't think Iran will do that.

It would make no sense for them.

Striking American assets in the Persian Gulf would be much more efficient for Iran, causing far greater damage to the US than an attack on the American mainland.

Any direct attack on the US mainland would only ignite American patriotism, shifting public opinion from the issue of Iranian school children being killed to a topic favorable to Trump.

Destroying American data centers would be far more devastating for the US than any explosion in California.

The chairman of the association of veterans of the international anti-terrorism "Alpha" unit, Sergei Gancharov, explained to "Free News" whether intelligence agencies can resist possible attacks by sabotage groups.

The US is likely to face a threat similar to what Russia has endured over the past four years.

- Russian experience shows that it is very difficult to defend against drone attacks and sabotage operations.

From the perspective of drones, the US might have a slightly easier time.

Iran can only launch drones from unidentified ships near the US coast,

and there are not many such tankers and cargo ships.

But Americans are indeed in serious trouble, and the fact that their intelligence agencies have called for vigilance against attacks confirms this.

"Free News":

These attacks are not coming from the sea, but from "undercover personnel" within the US?

- Let me start with our experience.

At the beginning of the special military operation in 2022, we underestimated the danger posed by recruited personnel.

According to a report from the FSB of Russia, about 400 terrorist attacks were prevented last year, not counting those that weren't prevented.

And between Ukraine and Russia, regardless of how deep the conflict is, it's still a dialogue between Christians.

But there's an additional religious dimension between the US and Iran.

The US is involved in a long war—not against Iran, but against believers, or those who use believers for their own interests.

Ukrainians have deep hatred for Russians, which is also one of the reasons we have not been able to defeat them so far.

But the hatred of Shia believers towards the US may be even stronger.

Going back to our side.

Four years ago, who could have imagined that Ukraine would launch attacks on almost all regions of Russia?

Our country has suffered great losses due to Ukrainian attacks, with a large number of people dissatisfied...

"Free News":

Are people dissatisfied with Putin not dropping nuclear bombs on Kyiv?

- ... Well, the pressure on Trump in the US would be much greater than the pressure on Putin here.

Every action that happens in the US will trigger protests: either bombing, or resignation...

Additionally, Russia has about 10 million immigrants,

it's mainly these people who were recruited, assembled, and launched those drones that came not from abroad, but from our own territory.

And the US has more immigrants.

They could completely assemble drones within the US and use them to attack the US.

Yes, currently there are more Ukrainian intelligence agents operating in Russia than Iranian agents in the US.

But the latter reproduces very quickly like mosquitoes.

Original: toutiao.com/article/7616762254360412715/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author.