Foreword:
The Indian military launched a surprise attack on Pakistan with about 80 fighter jets, but they were severely defeated by the J-10C, with 8 aircraft shot down. The Indian army retreated in disarray. However, Modi could not accept this failure, and neither could the Indian Air Force. Soon after, they implemented a second round of surprise attacks, this time using drones. Modi reignited the flames of war to make up for the failure of the first attack and to appease nationalist anger over the defeat. Modi's decision to reignite the conflict highlights his harsh reality of being trapped in populism. The essence of Modi's decision is a product of balancing domestic political gains with military risks, with the ultimate goal of "fighting to negotiate" with Pakistan and achieving his own political objectives.
1
Reigniting the flames of war, the drone attack on multiple cities in Pakistan demonstrates both the show of strength and the helplessness of not daring to deploy manned aircraft again. India's air force was thoroughly defeated in its first strike, losing face globally, and the Indian public was furious. Clearly, Modi had to make up for the loss; otherwise, the objective of this military operation against Pakistan would be unachievable. The BJP government led by Modi is known for its "strongman" image, and frequent military actions can cater to nationalist sentiment domestically. After suffering a crushing defeat, Modi personally deployed a new round of strikes. Since they dared not use manned aircraft, they resorted to using drones for the attack. This situation reflects both frustration and helplessness.
Indian Times and other media reported that India launched a second wave of attacks, targeting cities such as Gurdaspur, Gujranwala, Bahawalpur, Lahore, Shekhupura, Sialkot, Narowal, and Chakwal in Punjab Province with large-scale drone strikes. During the attack, India used a large number of high-end drones, including the Israeli-made "Harop" suicide drone and the "Heron" armed reconnaissance and strike drone. In addition to high-end drones, India's strike formation also included suicide drones, loitering munitions, decoy drones, and unmanned bomb-dropping aircraft. Clearly, this time, the Indian army was determined to recover the lost face from the first failure.
2
China's "anti-aircraft network" has proven itself by shooting down 25 Indian military drones in succession, once again validating Chinese equipment in real combat. Facing India's drone attacks, there was no need to use high-end equipment like the J-10C. This time, Pakistan mainly relied on China's "Silent Hunter" laser anti-drone system and the LY-80 medium-range missile defense network. When faced with China's laser anti-drone systems, the sky only flashed a blue light, and India's drones fell like kites cut loose, allowing the world to witness our anti-drone capabilities. Among the drones shot down were the newly purchased "Heron TP" improved version from Israel, priced at over $20 million each.
This drone has repeatedly achieved great success on the Middle Eastern battlefield but suffered a crushing defeat in front of Pakistan's "Chinese shield," effectively providing free advertising for Chinese equipment once again. This battle shattered the "invincible drone theory," proving that low-cost directed energy weapons can effectively counter swarm tactics, offering a model for global anti-drone operations. The Silent Hunter laser system costs less than $1 per shot, can lock onto targets within 6 seconds, and can burn through five layers of steel plates at 800 meters, with significant night-time operational effectiveness.
The LY-80 surface-to-air missile has a detection range of 120 kilometers and can intercept six targets simultaneously, with "second-level reaction" capabilities when paired with phased array radar. In one battle, India's losses exceeded $200 million, while Pakistan's interception cost was merely thousands of dollars in electricity, highlighting the cost-effectiveness of "cheap money vs expensive targets." It is reported that the anti-drone "Sky Network" system introduced by Pakistan from China integrates quantum radar, artificial intelligence identification, and directed energy weapons, capable of accurately identifying friend or foe targets in complex electromagnetic environments and quickly shooting down incoming drones at very low costs.
This system achieves full integration of "detect-control-strike-assess" capabilities, possessing second-level response capabilities. As soon as India's drones crossed the border, the red warning trajectory immediately appeared on the large screen of the Pakistani military command center, with the entire process flowing smoothly like an electronic game. China's anti-drone system truly enjoyed the experience of "slaughtering so many targets coming forward."
3
The failure of India's drone tactics stems from technological gaps and strategic misjudgments, where we excel in the field of drone warfare. India bought the MQ-9 Reaper drone from the U.S. at $100 million each, whereas Pakistan's Wing Loong-2 and Rainbow-4 drones cost only around $4 million each. India's Israeli drones are also priced at over $20 million each, with cheaper models costing around $4 million each, yet they lack cost-effectiveness in drone operations. India's second drone attack failure shows its technological failures and strategic misjudgments.
The "Harop" (Harop) suicide drone purchased by India from Israel costs over $10 million each, while its locally developed "Bhargavastra" anti-drone system has a range of only 2,500 meters, far inferior to China's comparable products. Although India deployed high-frequency GNSS jamming systems along the border to suppress Pakistan's navigation capabilities, China's integration of "Beidou" and anti-drone systems ensured Pakistan's battlefield awareness. India continued its traditional tactic of "batch multi-directional attacks," failing to adjust to the rapid response characteristics of laser weapons, resulting in drone swarms being hunted down one by one.
4
India is no longer being tough, choosing instead to open the dam gates to release water. After consecutive failures, it must find ways to break the deadlock. On the afternoon of May 8 local time, the sluice gates of the Baglihar Hydropower Station in India were reopened, and three sluice gates of the Salal Hydropower Station were also opened. This indicates that India has abandoned its previous practice of closing the dam to cut off Pakistan's water supply and has begun to send signals of easing tensions.
Iran proposed mediation, with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi arriving in New Delhi on the 8th specifically for mediation. The international community generally called for restraint between India and Pakistan to end the tense situation. The United Nations urged restraint, warning that if the situation spiraled out of control, India might face diplomatic isolation. For India, after consecutive failures, it really needs to find a way to break the deadlock.
Original Source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7502205998417904155/
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