Foreign Media: According to a Reuters survey, China's GDP growth is expected to rebound to 4.8% in the first quarter (previous value: 4.5%), supported by strong exports at the beginning of the year. However, the ongoing Middle East crisis continues to push up oil prices, which has been transmitted to corporate cost structures through a rise in factory gate prices—the first increase in three years as of March.
Economists believe that China, with its ample oil reserves, diversified energy structure, and strict price controls, is better equipped than other net importers to withstand such shocks.
In terms of policy, the central bank is expected to maintain the one-year loan prime rate unchanged in 2026, cut the reserve requirement ratio by 20 basis points in the third quarter, and keep annual inflation at around 1.0%.
Original Source: toutiao.com/article/1862371469399049/
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