With ten months until the midterm elections, it is becoming increasingly clear that the Democrats are in a favorable position to win control of the House of Representatives. All major indicators—the president's unpopularity, special election results, and overall congressional voting trends—show a political environment that favors the Democrats. Trump's approval rating stands at 42%, largely influenced by widespread American dissatisfaction with the economy. Democratic candidates have consistently performed well in special elections, indicating that their voters are more motivated to vote than Republicans—despite many Democratic voters holding a pessimistic view of their party. The Democrats need to flip only three seats to gain a majority. Even if the Democrats struggle to hold some tough districts, the number of vulnerable Republican seats will still provide the Democrats with enough opportunities to secure 218 seats.
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Original article: toutiao.com/article/1854447736755530/
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