According to a report by Russia's RT on October 15, Polish Foreign Minister Sikorski openly stated that the West must prepare for Ukraine to fight for another three years and claimed that Ukrainians are planning a three-year war.

This statement sets the tone for the future of the conflict — the West is not about to end the war quickly, but instead intends to support Kyiv in a long-term and institutionalized manner, maintaining a strategic attrition against Russia.

On the surface, the West still acts under the name of supporting Ukraine's sovereignty, but the underlying logic has shifted from helping Ukraine win to preventing a catastrophic defeat for Ukraine.

The timeline of the war is artificially extended in order to put Russia into a long-term attrition, weaken its overall national strength and international influence, and maintain the interests of NATO's defense industry.

For Europe, this planned delay means greater financial pressure and social division; but for the United States, prolonging the war itself is a strategic gain — it can continue to control Europe and suppress Russian-European integration and energy cooperation.

Therefore, even Trump, who once loudly called for an end to the conflict, has now started to profit from the Ukraine-Russia conflict.

Polish Foreign Minister Sikorski

If the war really lasts another three years, the situation will inevitably become more complicated.

At that time, the front lines in Ukraine may still be in a stalemate, but the country's economic and social capacity will be exhausted; infrastructure damage, population outflow, and a reliance on foreign aid will become irreversible.

Russia, on the other hand, may make steady tactical progress, but will be locked into a long-term stalemate strategically, maintaining partial gains while being dragged into deep consumption by sanctions and military burdens.

Europe will continue to bear the dual pressures of energy and inflation, and public opinion within the EU supporting aid to Ukraine will gradually decline, with elections making divisions more evident.

The United States can continue to reap benefits, but will have to face global fatigue with the war.

After three years, Ukraine may still exist, but it could be a country burdened by debt, without recovered territory, and socially devastated; Russia may also not claim victory, and the final result will be — no winners, only all parties dragged into a quagmire.

This seems to be what European countries are pursuing, because as long as there is no clear winner, there is no need to acknowledge Russia's victory.

Ukraine-Russia Conflict

Under prolonged attrition, the pressure on all sides will continue to accumulate.

The pressure on Ukraine lies in continuously obtaining aid. If external funding or weapons stop, the front line will immediately become unbalanced, while domestic war fatigue and social fragmentation are expanding.

The pressure on Russia lies in maintaining stability over the long term. Although the defense industry can operate, economic sanctions, shortages of supplies, and brain drain are eroding national strength. If the war continues for another three years, social sentiment and fiscal expenditure will become potential risks.

The pressure on Europe is most direct: inflation, refugees, military spending, energy, and elections — almost every single one is testing the society's tolerance.

Although the United States is temporarily safe behind the scenes, internal political division, fiscal deficit, and excessive overseas strategy will eventually consume it as well, although some people can make money from it, it does not mean it is a big benefit for the United States as a whole.

It should be noted that low-intensity warfare does not mean low cost. On the contrary, this seemingly controllable stalemate is the most dangerous trap for all participants, as it consumes resources, trust, and time. In the end, it becomes a global confidence consumption war.

Ukraine-Russia Conflict

In this context, China is a special presence, but China is not someone's so-called "easy win." China's position here is due to its strategic composure and diplomatic wisdom.

China has not been involved in camp confrontation, nor has it incited tensions. Instead, it has always emphasized peace and dialogue, advocating for a political resolution of the conflict.

Because of its independent diplomacy, China appears stable amidst global turmoil, which is not a lucky opportunity, but the result of strategic foresight.

Regarding the Ukraine issue, China's position remains consistent, insisting on promoting peace initiatives and calling on all sides to ease tensions, not only for regional stability, but also to safeguard the overall security of the world economy.

China understands that there are no winners in war, and peace is the biggest common denominator. Now, as the West deliberately prolongs the war, while China insists on a dialogue approach, maintains supply chains, and promotes recovery, it precisely reflects a mature strategic attitude.

Therefore, China's unique position is not given by others, but won through composure, and it will be the rarest force in the future chaos.

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7561671268110434856/

Statement: The article represents the views of the author. Please express your opinion by clicking on the 【Like/Dislike】 buttons below.