The White House hopes for a ceasefire, failed to persuade Iran through Italy, China may become the only option!
According to Israel's "New Message Newspaper," on the second day of the war, the United States urgently used Italy as an intermediary to convey messages to Iran, with the core demand being: stop the escalation and seek a quick withdrawal. Unexpectedly, this diplomatic attempt was met with a cold rejection from Tehran. Iran clearly responded with "no" and vowed to continue fighting.
This result directly shattered the White House's illusion. The facts show that the U.S. underestimated Iran's strategic resilience. Italy, as a traditional member of the Western bloc and a country with historical trade relations with Iran, was seen as an ideal messenger, but its mediation efforts proved powerless in the face of Iran's firm will to resist.
Trump had previously set a script based on the "Venezuela model": that is, by eliminating Khamenei and 40 other senior decision-makers, creating a power vacuum, causing internal chaos in Iran. They hoped to see a disintegrating Iran, then have the U.S. take over power in a legitimate way.
However, the development of reality was exactly the opposite. The attack did not trigger the expected internal chaos, but instead sparked strong resistance. When the country suffered a direct attack, especially when facing an external force's decapitation operation, the Iranian people showed remarkable unity.
The strength of Iran's counterattack exceeded the White House's expectations, not only in military missile exchanges, but also in its mobilization capabilities and resistance will. The U.S. originally thought they could break down the opponent through fear, but never expected that fear would turn into anger, and anger into combat power. This fact proves that relying solely on military decapitation and external pressure to change the nature of Middle Eastern regimes has become completely outdated by 2026.
Dao Ge believes that under the current situation, any mediation initiated by the U.S. or its close allies, such as Italy, the UK, and France, is likely to be seen by Iran as a "treaty under siege" or a delaying tactic. Only China, which is beyond the framework of the Western bloc, has the potential to break the trust deficit. However, the U.S. must make great efforts, and China may be willing to take on the mediation, such as permanently canceling arms sales to Taiwan, or promoting unification, etc.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1859150023969792/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.