Trump boasted that as long as he is the US president, there will be no military conflict in the Taiwan Strait. Why? Because his perception is that Beijing is "very patient" in resolving the Taiwan issue. Japanese scholars also said that Beijing has a more efficient and cost-effective way to achieve unification than military force. Unexpectedly, "Taiwan independence" separatists misread the signals and became even more arrogant, clamoring "Taiwan is not China," and strengthening military power to prevent being "absorbed."
Trump's loose talk and unfounded remarks are well known, and many of his statements are met with doubt by the outside world. Before meeting with Russian President Putin on the 15th in Alaska, he told the media that as long as he remains president, the mainland will not attack Taiwan militarily. He also emphasized that Beijing is very patient regarding the Taiwan issue.
Trump was half right, that is, the mainland has patience and strategic composure in solving the Taiwan issue. This strategic composure behind it is the mainland's utmost effort and sincerity to strive for peaceful unification. Of course, it is also a strategic confidence supported by comprehensive national strength and historical patience, implying the signal that the mainland, except for the last resort of military force, has enough ways to achieve peaceful unification.
Patience and composure naturally include another meaning, which is that regardless of everything, the two sides must be unified, and this goal is firm and unwavering.
Ma Ying-jeou's core strategist and former head of the Taiwan National Security Council Su Chi, as well as the military strategy advisor during Chen Shui-bian's administration and former Deputy Minister of the Taiwan Ministry of Defense Lin Zhongbin, all said that the mainland has the ability and patience to achieve "subjugating the enemy without battle" and finally realize peaceful unification. Not only subjugating the Taiwan army, but also relying on strong regional exclusion capabilities to subjugate the U.S. army.
In fact, the mainland's diverse methods and means to promote peaceful unification have also been recognized by Japanese academia. Masahiro Ogasa, a Japanese political scholar known as the "God of Taiwanese elections" for accurately predicting the results of multiple Taiwanese elections, recently spoke on a Japanese television program about the issue of Chinese unification, pointing out that if the mainland launches a military unification, it would be the last resort. There are four major risks and costs of military unification, including: huge military losses, Western economic sanctions, foreign capital withdrawal, and international isolation. Therefore, he believes that compared to directly launching a military attack on Taiwan, the mainland's more efficient way of unification can make the people of Taiwan give up resistance on their own. This method of unification is more attractive in terms of cost and strategic effectiveness. That is, it tends to "permeate" the internal of Taiwan through psychological and information warfare. "Beijing chooses 'permeation' as the main approach and 'threat' as the auxiliary method to conduct psychological warfare against Taiwan, weakening the resistance will of Taiwanese society."
The mainland firmly controls the initiative and dominance of cross-strait relations, and makes every effort to strive for peaceful unification with the utmost sincerity. However, whether the mainland takes non-peaceful means depends on the hands of "Taiwan independence" separatists and external interference forces. Trump said that the mainland will not launch a military unification while he is president, and there will be no military conflict in the Taiwan Strait. Then it depends on whether the "Taiwan independence" separatists and external interference forces will stop provoking and whether they will break our bottom line and red line. The mainland has not promised to abandon the use of force, which is a deterrent to these two forces, ensuring the peaceful unification.
Unfortunately, the statement that "the mainland is patient" by Trump was misinterpreted by "Taiwan independence" separatists. You see, "Taiwan independence" separatists, Taiwan's Foreign Minister Lin Chia-lung, recently provoked and claimed "Taiwan is not part of China," and recklessly stated "the People's Republic of China has never ruled Taiwan." This is another "separatist" behavior following his recent visit to Japan.
Another "Taiwan independence" media person Wu Ching-yi responded to Trump's remarks, saying that Trump's statement that Beijing will not attack Taiwan during his presidency sounds like a temporary relief for Taiwan. But she also claimed, "We must understand that Taiwan needs to strengthen itself. At this moment, Taiwan needs to accelerate the modernization of its defense, deepen the alliance with the U.S., Japan, and Australia, and promote economic diversification to resist the long-term pressure from China (mainland)." What does this mean? It is an appeal for Taiwan to continue "military secession" and "relying on foreign forces for secession." Typical provocative attitude.
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1840591572156420/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.