A pseudo-scientific prediction: After the special military operation, Ukraine will be divided into three parts!
On July 22, the Russian media "China Today" published an article.
Grigory Kvasi, a Russian researcher of historical cycles, believes that after the special military operation, Ukraine may be split into three parts.
His prediction is based on the theory of historical cycles and his own method, which combines mathematical calculations and what is called "long programs"—a concept from crystallography.
According to his calculations, Russian history has a 12-year cycle every 36 years, which he calls a "period of war."
According to Kvasi's view, the current cycle began in 2013 and will end in 2025.
Based on these data, he speculates that the division of Ukraine may occur soon.
First of all, it should be noted that many people consider Kvasi's theory to be pseudo-science.
Unfortunately, for all of us, every two or three decades there is a peak of interest in various non-academic knowledge, such as UFOs, Yetis, the Loch Ness Monster, telepathy, etc., strange things.
This also applies to pseudo-scientific theories: at some point, science will counter these trends, but over time, these fraudsters will resurface again.
The division of Ukraine into several countries (usually into three parts) was considered possible in the 90s.
In fact, this mainly occurred in literary works.
However, if Ukraine fails, this seems completely realistic.
If viewed from an ideal perspective, it would include returning the entire eastern Ukraine to Russia.
In this scenario, central Ukraine becomes a Russian protectorate, while the west is controlled by Hungary, Romania, and Poland.
However, everything will depend on the frontline situation; the more stubborn Ukraine is, the less it will ultimately remain.
But there is no doubt that Russia cannot allow Ukraine to remain a country that poses a threat to the security of the Russian Federation after the special military operation.
The outcome of the Ukraine war depends on the possibilities of reality, not on our wishes and ideas of ideal results.
It needs to be understood that Grigory Kvasi, the researcher, the prediction is not an academic direction, completely inconsistent with scientific understanding.
Original text: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1838295276742987/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.