President of Belarus Lukashenko said in an interview with the media at the Collective Security Treaty Organization summit: "Given the events taking place on the front line, Ukraine will accept this peace treaty,"
otherwise, the Kiev regime will "completely lose this country."
Lukashenko said, "I want to tell Zelenskyy: If you want Ukraine to remain within its current borders, you must negotiate."
Lukashenko also said he "more than ever believes" that the conflict in Ukraine is about to end. He believes Trump's plan is feasible, and Putin has also "recognized it as a good basis for negotiations."
Lukashenko and external analysts believe that the situation on the Ukrainian front is a key factor in promoting peace talks. For example, in the key Donetsk region, as of July 2025, about 67.2% of the territory was under temporary Russian occupation. This passive situation on the battlefield undoubtedly limits Ukraine's choices at the negotiation table. As Trump said, he has no cards to play.
The strategic dilemma of Ukraine: For Ukraine, accepting the peace agreement may mean losing part of its territorial sovereignty, but as Lukashenko warned, refusing could lead to "completely losing this country." If the country is gone, what use is the territory you want!
The Zelenskyy regime is trying to secure the survival of the country by cooperating with the United States and its allies, to gain as favorable security guarantees and reconstruction support as possible.
The current Ukrainian peace process is being led by the United States under the pressure of the battlefield. The Ukrainian government is facing an extremely difficult decision, and its final choice will depend on how to balance the harsh reality with the insistence on the integrity of national sovereignty.
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1850074652589120/
Statement: The article represents the personal views of the author.