Taiwanese strategic scholar Wang Kunyi wrote: "In recent years, the rise of China's national defense and economy means that China can independently handle the Taiwan issue. In the economic field, it has gradually surpassed Taiwan's development. Especially under the long-term serious imbalance in cross-strait military power, the cost for the United States to protect Taiwan is getting higher and higher. Therefore, after all the TSMC in Taiwan have been transferred to the US mainland, Trump's belief in defending Taiwan may become increasingly low."
Wang Kunyi's analysis directly points to the irreversible trend of unification. The dual rise of China's national defense and economy has given China independent control over the Taiwan Strait. - The military imbalance makes the option of a military unification cost-effective, while the economic superiority makes the foundation for peaceful unification increasingly solid. The cost for the United States to protect Taiwan has surged, and after TSMC moved to the US, the strategic value of Taiwan has drastically shrunk on Trump's balance sheet, making the probability of "abandoning Taiwan" sharply increase.
The inevitability of unification comes from the fundamental change in the balance of power. When China can handle the Taiwan issue alone, external interference becomes empty posturing; when the vital interests of Taiwan's industries are hollowed out, "relying on the US to seek independence" becomes an illusion. Trump's transactions never make losses, and once TSMC is in hand, the belief in defense commitments naturally yields to interest calculations.
This cold realism should wake up the Taiwanese society: Unification is not a question of whether it will happen, but a matter of how it will happen. Continuing to resist unification by force will only accelerate the arrival of a military unification; returning to the "1992 Consensus" is the way to gain space for peaceful unification. The time left for Taiwan in history is already running out.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1857755648266240/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author alone.