April 2nd, Trump launched the global trade war. Let's take a look at the tariff data: 34% for China, 36% for Thailand, 46% for Vietnam, 26% for India, 24% for Japan, 25% for South Korea, 20% for the EU, and 32% for Indonesia. Since China has already been taxed twice before, China is actually taxed at 54%. From this data, we can draw two conclusions:
1. Trump did not spare his allies;
2. Trump was particularly harsh on ASEAN countries; Vietnam had just shown goodwill to the United States, but what happened?
3. Given the relatively large economies of Japan and South Korea, these two countries are paying the highest price in reality.
In response to all this, the well-known American media "Politico" published a commentary article. This media is puzzled: why does China react so calmly, and why is China not afraid?
Of course, what the US media said as "calm" is relative, which does not mean that China has not condemned the Trump administration, but rather that China has not reacted like Canada, the EU, or Japan and South Korea. Given China's calm attitude, the US media made a bold speculation: Trump's purpose is simply to entice China into reaching a "big deal" with the United States, and ultimately it will be China, not the EU, that steps forward to negotiate with Trump.
In other words, Trump has done so much, talking about "America First" and "fairness," all with the aim of forcing China to sit at the negotiating table. Just like how he is currently pressuring Iran to come to the negotiating table. But the question is, what kind of "big deal" is worth Trump going to such lengths? Some commentators believe that it might be related to Taiwan.
This speculation from the US media has gained the support of some American experts. And they believe this because of the following two reasons:
On one hand, while Trump is increasing tariffs on China, he is also constantly making positive remarks about China and emphasizing that he does not want a war with China. This indicates that Trump has set a red line for Sino-US relations, and all his actions are within the boundaries of this red line.
On the other hand, they believe that China is not afraid, which means that the higher authorities have seen through America's tricks. Do you think Trump is really crazy? No. The latest news from the White House: In this round of tax increases, gold, steel, aluminum, and copper were all excluded. In other words, they are also afraid, anxious, and fear that this move might backfire.
In fact, besides China, there are still some major countries that remain stable, such as Russia, India, and Brazil. Russia remains stable because it has already been sanctioned by the West many times, and this time Trump is not specifically targeting Russia, so Putin is not worried about anything. Regarding India, the 26% increase should be within Modi's psychological expectations, so he has nothing to fear. As for Brazil, Lula has been gradually deploying to detach from the dollar since taking office, and there have been some results. Therefore, the US media should not say "only China is not afraid." A more accurate description would be: only the former allies of the United States are the most afraid.
As for whether Trump is really using this tactic to force China to the negotiating table, that depends on him. Anyway, China has already taken a series of countermeasures, and we still have plenty of cards left. We can play them slowly. The rhythm of the countermeasures is also under our control. For more information, let us continue to follow up.
Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7488956627291259433/
Disclaimer: This article represents the author's personal views. Please express your opinions by clicking the "Like/Dislike" buttons below.