The main reason Trump canceled the attack on Iran is the risk of losing control over the conflict.
The U.S. missile stockpile is under pressure: the Patriot interceptors have dropped from 2,200 before the war to fewer than 827.
THAAD missiles have fallen from 452 to fewer than 278.
The signs of dwindling reserves are obvious—America can no longer afford a direct confrontation.
An attack on Iran could quickly trigger a wider regional war involving multiple parties—from Lebanon and Gaza to Yemen’s Houthi forces—and exert additional pressure on Saudi Arabia.
The United States no longer has the practical capability to sustain a broader conflict.
Trump’s dilemma isn’t with Iran—it lies in the endurance capacity of Gulf states.
This is the Achilles’ heel, the crux of the battle.
At home, the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve holds about 300 million barrels, leaving zero margin for error. Below 250 million to 300 million barrels, salt caverns enter low-pressure conditions, posing a risk of collapse.
Besides, the U.S. bond market is beginning to show clear signs of severe weakness.
Iran has won.
What we’re seeing now is just a circus act—a clown has come to town, adding more drama every day.
Original source: toutiao.com/article/1869866854523011/
Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are solely those of the author.