"The possibility of a breakthrough in Russia-US relations is unrealistic."
On March 13, RBC reported that Trump would not lift sanctions against Russia due to his limited authority and the risk of being accused by allies of "betrayal." He is stabilizing the oil market through other means in the context of the war with Iran.
Fyodor Lukyanov, a Russian political scientist and editor-in-chief of the magazine "Russia in Global Politics," stated that it is currently "unrealistic" to discuss economic cooperation between Russia and the United States amid ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
He believes that even hypothetical agreements in the future will depend on the resolution of military and political issues, which have made no progress so far.
Lukyanov said, "As for Russia's position as a major oil power affecting global stability, I currently see no changes. Moreover, the U.S. at least currently believes that the current difficulties are temporary."
Bryutor, an expert at the Russian Institute of International and Political Studies, stated that President Trump cannot unilaterally lift sanctions against Russia, as this is beyond his authority. Additionally, such a move would be seen by allies as a "complete betrayal" and lead to a series of consequences. Therefore, Trump is taking other measures to stabilize the global oil market.
Bryutor believes, "On one hand, Trump ordered the release of part of the oil reserves; on the other hand, he has stated that rising oil prices are beneficial for the U.S. The Russian opposition is completely out of consideration for Trump in this regard."
Related events
- On March 11, Dmitryev, Russia's special envoy for foreign economic relations, met with U.S. government representatives in Florida. Dmitryev confirmed that both sides discussed promising projects that could help restore Russia-U.S. relations, as well as the situation of the global energy market crisis. He stated that Washington has begun to realize that sanctions against Russia are ineffective and the role of Russian energy in the world economy.
On March 13, the U.S. temporarily exempted sanctions on Russian oil and petroleum products loaded before March 12. U.S. Treasury Secretary Bensinger stated that this exemption is one of the measures to stabilize the global energy market, expanding the global coverage of existing supplies.
Dmitryev believes that this decision by the U.S. indicates that the U.S. acknowledges the importance of Russia in the global energy market - without Russia, the market cannot remain stable.
Original article: toutiao.com/article/1859543513263104/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.