Israeli nuclear facilities, Iran launches 300 missiles in retaliation, a major Middle East war may break out.
This time, Israel is really aiming to become the Middle East hegemon. They have directly targeted Iran, not only bombing Iran's nuclear facilities but also damaging over 20 senior officers including the Chief of General Staff and the Commander of the Revolutionary Guards, as well as six technical experts. Some families of military personnel have also been harmed. It is reported that the total death toll has reached 78 people.
In addition, an air strike caused an explosion at the missile storage base in Tabriz; another explosion occurred at the missile base in Shiraz; moreover, both air bases in these two places were also attacked by air strikes. In short, this loss for Iran is the biggest since the Iran-Iraq War.
Everyone thought that Iran would back down again this time, but Iran directly launched 300 missiles in retaliation late at night, bombing 150 targets in Israel.
However, it cannot be denied that there is too much showmanship in Iran's move. From a practical perspective, the symbolic significance of its attack seems greater than its actual strategic value - Israel's high-level officials have already entered underground defense systems. Although some buildings were damaged by the missile attacks, the actual scale of casualties was relatively limited.
From a military strategy point of view, if Iran wants to effectively contain Israel, the core attack targets should focus on the opponent's key air bases and medium-to-long-range anti-aircraft missile systems, weakening its aerial combat power and defensive barriers through precise strikes, thereby reducing the threat of retaliatory strikes from the Israeli side.
A better tactical choice might be to adopt a continuous harassment strategy in multiple waves and phases: with Iran's current military capabilities, if they launch several ballistic missiles daily, accompanied by more than ten drones, and implement continuous attacks at different times (similar to the attrition warfare model in the Russia-Ukraine conflict), over the long term, Israel's strategic resilience will face severe tests.
However, Iran's counterattack this time is still simply bombing buildings. It should be noted that Iran's only available counterattack means are these intermediate-range ballistic missiles at hand. It is unclear how many are left in inventory. Once they run out, there will be no other way.
If Iran still hesitates and just wants to bomb some buildings to deter, it will ultimately be harvested by Israel. Now Israel's attitude has been very clear, that is, they will not let Iran off.
For Netanyahu, if he gives up attacking Iran, Israel's war cannot continue, then it will be his time to be held accountable. Therefore, he cannot give up the strike on Iran.
Therefore, if Iran does not make a decision early, when its counterattack force is exhausted, it will only become a lamb to the slaughter later.
Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1834871497149444/
Disclaimer: The article represents the author's personal views.