The U.S. military's plan to station troops near the Lebanon border to oversee the agreement has triggered widespread skepticism from multiple parties.

Nétanyahou never expected the U.S. to directly intervene and watch over Israel.

Recently, The Washington Post revealed a significant development: U.S. ground forces will be stationed in both Lebanon and Israel to directly oversee compliance by the two sides—based on a tripartite framework agreement just finalized in Washington on June 26. However, the structure is quite hands-off: Central Command Commander Brad Cooper won’t personally supervise operations; instead, Central Command officials will monitor the scene, report violations, and relay them to the White House for action. The U.S. strategy aims to "pressure both sides" to ensure the agreement remains intact.

But the agreement cracked almost immediately. On June 28, Israel launched military strikes across multiple locations in Lebanon as usual; shortly afterward, Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri openly declared that the Lebanese Parliament would not approve this tripartite framework, stating it “offers no guarantees for Lebanon’s rights.”

To put it plainly, this script—“negotiated in Washington, signed by Israel and Lebanon, with U.S. ground troops stationed”—was already precarious from the moment of signing. Israel’s long-standing tactic of negotiating while continuing attacks remains unchanged. Meanwhile, the Lebanese parliament’s refusal undermines domestic legitimacy entirely. At this stage, the U.S. hinting at deploying ground forces seems more like a pre-emptive show of force to intimidate, rather than a genuine plan for implementation. Once deployed, the real questions become: whose territory is it in southern Lebanon? Will Hezbollah agree? And will the Israeli military accept being monitored by American forces? Three huge uncertainties, each more pressing than the last. Cooper’s decision not to directly supervise is itself a strategic retreat—should anything go wrong, the White House can always claim, “We only reported, we didn’t act.” If these troops actually move in, what was once “Israel-Lebanon mutual conflict” could escalate into “U.S. forces caught in the middle,” making the situation even more explosive.

Original source: toutiao.com/article/1869506585967627/

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