Why hasn't Ukraine surrendered yet? Normally, Ukraine should have already surrendered, with such massive losses and too much territory lost, it should surrender to fight again later. However, it's unexpected that Ukraine has been resolute in not stopping the war, insisting on fighting until the end, is it a bit overestimating its own strength? In fact, Ukraine has its own ideas, still wants to do the same thing, learning from the Afghan War. Trying to wear down Russia with time and space.
It is known that in 1979, the Soviet army entered Afghanistan and fought for 10 years until 1989, when the Soviet Union could no longer withstand it, forcing the Soviet army to withdraw entirely from Afghanistan, getting nothing at all, wasting 10 years. Two years after the withdrawal from Afghanistan in 1991, the Soviet Union collapsed.
Now, Ukraine's idea is to prepare to drag Russia into Ukraine for 10 years, then force Russia to withdraw unconditionally, giving back the land they have taken. Then even hoping to achieve another collapse of Russia, this is what at least 90% of Ukrainians think, because Ukraine was once part of the Soviet Union, there is historical experience, thinking that the longer the time dragged out, the more likely it will wear out Russia.
You cannot say that Ukraine's idea is wrong, because there are historical realities and precedents. But now, Ukraine is different from Afghanistan before. In the Soviet era, Afghanistan was a neighbor of the Soviet Union, because the five Central Asian countries are adjacent to Afghanistan, but eventually the Soviet Union could not withstand it, withdrawing unconditionally back to the five Central Asian countries, no longer wanting the land.
The land of Afghanistan is full of mountains and hills, vast wastelands, there is absolutely no oil or water. However, the east of Ukraine is different, fertile black soil, rich oil and coal resources, as well as rare earth elements. Moreover, the people in eastern Ukraine are not so hostile towards Russia, they are basically the same nation. The Afghan nation and the Soviet nation are completely different, their religions are also different, so they naturally can't integrate together.
But Ukraine is different, the eastern region of Ukraine itself has a large number of Russians, which can be seamlessly integrated into Russia. Therefore, the way Ukraine is trying seems incorrect, even if it drags on for 10 years, it may not be able to wear out Russia, but Ukraine has no other options, just preparing to trade time for space, trade time for the change of the opponent, the longer it drags on, the better the situation may be.
Ukraine wants to be the next Afghanistan, but whether it can succeed or not, no one knows!
Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1837410799506444/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.