What would Chinese history be like if the Qing army had not entered the pass in 1644? It is highly likely that there would have been a large-scale three-way war! The Shun army of Li Zicheng, the Xi army of Zhang Xianzhong, and the Nanming army would have fought a great battle to decide who would be the master of the world.
However, there is a problem here. How many years would this civil war last? What would be the losses, and how many years would it take to recover national strength. Because during the turning point period of the late Ming and early Qing dynasties, the Dzungar Khanate and the Tsarist Russian Empire had also begun to rise rapidly.
At this time, the Dzungar Khanate had already risen, conquered the Kazakhs, destroyed the Yarkand Khanate, and dominated the Western Regions. It entered the Tibetan Plateau, seized Outer Mongolia, and began to advance toward Inner Mongolia. A full-scale invasion of the area south of the Great Wall was just a matter of time.
From 1640 to 1666, the power of the Tsarist Russian Empire also began to enter the Heilongjiang River basin, establishing Cossack outposts, conquering various tribes in the Far East, and engaging in the fur trade. A full-scale entry into Northeast China was just a matter of time.
Since the middle period of the Wanli era, due to the wars in the north, the Ming court basically gave up the areas beyond the border, adopting a defensive strategy, and mostly built fortifications and city walls along the border in Yunnan. The Burmese kingdom rose, and began to constantly erode the territories of the Three宣SixWeis, making entering the Southwest just a matter of time.
The offices of the Burma宣慰, Mengyang宣慰, Mubang宣慰, Badaodian宣慰, Cheli宣慰, and Laozhou宣慰 were basically all lost.
Therefore, the last few decades of the 17th century were crucial, it was a competition for territory. See who developed faster, see who grew stronger faster. Regardless of whether it was the Shun army establishing a dynasty, the Xi army establishing a dynasty, the Nanming reuniting, or the Qing entering the Forbidden City. They would have to engage in a long war against the Dzungar Mongols, the Tsarist Russian Empire, and Burma before they could fully establish their power.
Original: www.toutiao.com/article/1839963578908871/
Statement: This article represents the personal views of the author.