Japan holds parliamentary elections today! The Ishiba administration is basically determined to fall!
The upper house election in Japan will be held today. Polls predict that the ruling coalition of the Liberal Democratic Party and other parties may lose its majority seats, and Prime Minister Ishiba Taro is likely to have to resign.
As prime minister and head of the Liberal Democratic Party, Ishiba Taro has been unable to change the situation. The ruling coalition lost its majority in the lower house last autumn. In this upper house election, the coalition must secure at least 50 seats to maintain the government. Polls indicate that the Liberal Democratic Party may only gain fewer than 40 seats.
However, the main opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party, has even worse poll results, with only 22 seats, resulting in a mutual defeat with the Liberal Democratic Party.
The Japanese upper house has 248 members. Elections are held every three years, with half of the members elected each time. The term of office for members is six years.
This parliamentary election has three possible outcomes:
• The Liberal Democratic Party and its allies win, and Ishiba Taro continues as prime minister. This is highly unlikely.
• The Liberal Democratic Party and its allies lose, and the opposition forms a government, with Ishiba Taro resigning from his post as prime minister and president of the Liberal Democratic Party.
• The Liberal Democratic Party seeks new allies to increase its parliamentary seats. A new government, which cannot be led by Ishiba Taro, will be headed by a new ally who plays a key role in forming the government.
Original: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1838111792037900/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author himself.