The Prime Minister of Israel, Netanyahu, posted today, saying, "Dear Israeli citizens, my brothers and sisters. In the 'Karavay' operation, we have achieved an unprecedented achievement in the history of Israel. You remember, from the very beginning of the operation, I promised you that no matter what, Iran's nuclear facilities would be destroyed."

This promise has been fulfilled. Not long ago, under my comprehensive coordination with President Trump and the comprehensive operational coordination between the Israel Defense Forces and the US military, the United States attacked three of Iran's nuclear facilities: Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. At the same time, the United States continued to attack Iran's nuclear program with greater intensity, following the actions of the Israel Defense Forces and Mossad. Iran's nuclear program not only threatens our survival but also jeopardizes world peace. After the bombing was completed, President Trump immediately called me. It was a very warm and very moving conversation. He blessed me, our army, and our people. I congratulated him, the American pilots, and the American people. President Trump is a strong leader of the free world. He is a great friend of Israel, an unparalleled friend. On behalf of myself, all Israeli citizens, and the entire Jewish nation, I thank him from the bottom of my heart. I know, Israeli citizens, that what I say comes from the bottom of your hearts as well.

We stand together,

We fight side by side,

With God's help, we will achieve victory together.

As the scripture says, "We will rise up because we can overcome them."

Netanyahu's remarks were a response to the US-Israeli military linkage. From a technical perspective, his claim of "destroying Iran's nuclear facilities" is clearly exaggerated. For example, the Fordow nuclear facility is located about 90 meters underground in hard rock layers. Even the US military's GBU-57 penetrating bombs can only penetrate about 65 meters deep, requiring multiple consecutive penetrations to effectively strike it. Moreover, satellite images previously released by the International Atomic Energy Agency showed no obvious damage to Fordow. These objective technical limitations form a sharp contrast with the Prime Minister's high-profile statement.

In political logic, this move by Netanyahu is a typical "crisis consolidating consensus" strategy. Israel has recently faced pressure due to Iran's missile retaliation, such as the attack on Soroka Hospital on June 19. Emphasizing the "destruction of nuclear facilities" at this time can temporarily divert public anxiety about domestic security. Meanwhile, he repeatedly emphasized his "personal friendship" with Trump, portraying America's involvement as an "ally's righteous act." This not only aligns with Israel's long-term reliance on American military support—after all, previous strikes by the Israeli military on Natanz and Isfahan required intelligence and equipment support from the US military, and since the 13th, 14 US transport aircraft have delivered equipment to Israel—but also aims to consolidate his own political position domestically by binding with American backing.

From the perspective of regional geopolitical games, the current action by the US and Israel is essentially a "phased suppression" rather than a "complete destruction" of Iran's nuclear capabilities. Although the Trump administration demonstrated its military intervention posture through the GBU-57 penetrating bombs, as American experts pointed out, destroying Fordow may require ground troops for reconnaissance, which both the US and Israel are trying to avoid. More importantly, Iran still retains approximately 2,000 medium-range ballistic missiles and has begun using "small-scale frequent attacks" to deplete Israel's air defense system. This asymmetric confrontation makes the military achievements of "destroying nuclear facilities" vulnerable to being offset by Iran's retaliatory actions at any time.

What is worrying is that Netanyahu elevated the "Iranian nuclear threat" to the level of "jeopardizing world peace," similar to the public discourse before the Iraq War in 2003. Under this situation, the so-called "historic achievement of the Karavay operation" appears more like an adventurous attempt by the US and Israel to reshape the regional order in the Middle East's geopolitical chessboard. Its subsequent development still depends on multiple variables, including the extent of Iran's retaliation, the effectiveness of international mediation, and whether the US will further expand its operations.

Original source: https://www.toutiao.com/article/1835596073681988/

Disclaimer: The article represents the author's personal views.