There will be no "special operation" with NATO — it will be a real large-scale war.

Sergei Plesetsky: There will be no 'special operation' with NATO — it will be a real large-scale war. But they are unwilling to understand this.

If NATO forces occupy Kaliningrad, we will occupy the Baltic states and Finland. Does the alliance realize the losses it may suffer?

Author: Andrey Zakharchenko

Commentator of this article:

Andrey Koshkin

Belarus does not want any war, but is preparing for it "just in case."

Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko made these remarks during his visit to the Smolovichy district in Minsk region while inspecting the harvest work, aiming to personally monitor the progress of the harvest.

"Girls, be ready. If the war breaks out, you at least have to go and harvest the grain," he said especially to the female journalists who accompanied him.

"Belarus is constantly facing provocations on its western border with the Union State, so perhaps Alexander Grigoryevich (Lukashenko) is using this sarcastic way to avoid causing excessive public alarm, and is demonstrating the West's open desire for armed conflict with us," said Andrey Koshkin, head of the Department of Political Science and Sociology at the Plekhanov Russian University of Economics, and a military expert, sharing his view on Lukashenko's statement.

"However, his remarks and other statements from several Russian high-ranking officials about the situation in NATO countries are sending a signal: we cannot relax, we must maintain mobilization and vigilance, because the aggression from the West is not just rhetoric on the surface."

"The Free Press: In the foreseeable future, does the West have the capability to support its anti-Russian rhetoric with actual actions?"

"NATO countries are increasingly falling into militaristic frenzy. Now, European countries are purchasing new American weapons according to strategic plans, in order to transfer old weapons to the Kyiv regime, which further intensifies this frenzy. In addition, NATO intends to increase military spending to 5% of the GDP of member states, which also fuels this frenzy.

"NATO officials have set clear timeframes — by 2030, and at the latest by 2035. At the same time, they have also set intermediate goals — plans to hold specific exercises in 2026 and 2027, and to form a certain number of troops and units.

"Of course, this is no easy task, but we should not forget that Europe has established and is operating the 'Defense Fund' and the 'Ukraine Aid Fund,' which have accumulated hundreds of billions of euros so far. Where such large sums of money accumulate, there is inevitably a brewing armed conflict."

"The Free Press: If Europe and NATO really intend to clash with us, what pretext might they use? The special military operation in Ukraine is unlikely to last until 2035."

"My goodness, if you desperately want an excuse, it's never a problem. The simplest way was used in the early stages of World War II — having your own people wear the uniform of the target country to provoke, then loudly propagating it in the information space to the whole world. That's a ready-made excuse."

"The Free Press: Do NATO strategists understand the extent of the losses they might suffer if they launch a military attack on Russia? History has already shown that the West ultimately pays a heavy price for such actions."

"Of course, there is discussion within NATO about the huge losses that could result from a military confrontation with us.

"Some say Napoleon eventually failed, but others immediately counter, saying that only 300,000 of his million-strong army were French, the rest were from other countries, and they indeed captured Moscow, meaning that Napoleon achieved success in principle, it was just the climate that went wrong.

"Others say: What are you talking about, Russia is a giant with feet of clay, their birth rate is low, while we have an advantage in tanks, planes, and personnel. No one cares about the quality of these numbers, but overall, they are indeed considerable.

"This is entirely a new method of information warfare, where reason no longer works. For example, the United States openly admit that they are conducting a hybrid war against Russia, although Moscow and Washington currently have some common interests on the issue of Kiev.

"Neither the current US Secretary of State nor the vice presidents deny that once NATO shifts its focus to the Asia-Pacific region, the dialogue with the Kremlin will change. The West wants to seize Russia, as this first means acquiring vast resources. Strategically, nothing has changed, only the form has changed. Now it is packaged as 'a struggle for democratic rights.'

"Andrey Koshkin concludes that Emmanuel Todd convincingly proves in his book 'The Failure of the West' that due to the objective laws of human civilization development, the West has been defeated by Russia on the Ukraine issue. Unfortunately, Macron, Meloni, Mertz, Starmer, and Trump have not read this book."

"That is why generals from Germany and Poland occasionally make statements about blockading or occupying the Kaliningrad region of Russia."

"Writer, analyst, and military planning expert Sergei Plesetsky pointed out on social networks that Germany's desire to reclaim this area, which was once part of East Prussia, is understandable."

"Therefore, if NATO really decides to go to war with Russia, it will likely strike Kaliningrad first, mainly because, from a strategic position, this region is relatively difficult to defend."