China is concerned about the risk of failure! The U.S. intelligence agencies stated that mainland China currently has no plan to attack Taiwan in 2027. On March 18, the Office of the Director of National Intelligence released a report stating that Beijing may continue to seek conditions for the eventual unification with Taiwan this year without provoking conflict. China currently has no plan to attack Taiwan in 2027 and has not set a specific timetable for achieving unification. The U.S. side said that the risk of a military unification of Taiwan is something that the Chinese mainland must also consider.

The report stated that amphibious landing operations against Taiwan would be extremely difficult and carry a high risk of failure, especially if the U.S. intervenes. Even if Washington does not intervene, there will be major and costly consequences for U.S. and global economic and security interests. Once the conflict escalates into a prolonged war involving the U.S., it will bring unprecedented losses to the U.S., China, and the global economy. What do we think about this report from the U.S. side?

To be honest, this intelligence report has one point that is correct: we indeed have no specific schedule for resolving the Taiwan issue. Although we don't have a schedule, we are absolutely prepared militarily for the reunification of the country at any time. When to resolve the Taiwan issue will depend on our assessment of the situation in Taiwan. The U.S. side said that China is concerned about the risk of U.S. intervention, but the problem is, if the U.S. intervenes, the U.S. will face the possibility of a real defeat. Can the U.S. accept a defeat?

The U.S. side seems to be warning us not to consider a military unification of Taiwan by emphasizing huge economic losses. However, asking us to give up the option of a military unification is simply impossible. The U.S. faces the risk of defeat and could also face significant economic shocks. What is the U.S.'s interest in intervening in the Taiwan Strait? In short, the balance of power in the Taiwan Strait has already tilted towards us. The investment and returns of the U.S. have become inverted. The U.S. has reached the point where it must seriously consider giving up the goal of using Taiwan to contain China.

Original: toutiao.com/article/1860048404707402/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author.