Why has Trump indefinitely extended the ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran?
The ceasefire was originally set to expire on Wednesday, so its extension is neither surprising nor unexpected—it's very "Trump-like."
Currently, neither the U.S. nor Iran wants to return to war, each having its own reasons. However, negotiations have stalled due to massive differences between the two sides, with both believing they hold the upper hand.
Trump currently has no intention of resuming war. Aside from military costs, domestic political costs are rapidly rising. Restarting conflict would cause these costs to surge even further—especially if the Houthi forces enter the fray and block the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, jointly forming a "closing the door" scenario alongside the Strait of Hormuz. Under such circumstances, global chaos might only be just beginning.
Iran also does not wish to return to war. Even if it successfully blocks the Strait of Hormuz, without mechanisms guaranteeing a lasting ceasefire and peace, it remains vulnerable to attacks by the "Epstein Coalition," potentially suffering fatal consequences—such as threats to Mujtaba’s life.
When viewed collectively, Iran has actually suffered severe losses this time around.
Public unity can only endure when economic living conditions improve.
Moreover, both the U.S. and Iran believe they possess greater leverage relative to the other: Iran holds the Strait of Hormuz as its "nuclear weapon," while Trump firmly believes that because the U.S. is stronger and Iran weaker, the opponent must yield.
Both sides misread each other—possibly intentionally.
But the result is that each side believes the other should make concessions first.
The key lies in their tolerance for pain.
For Iran, this is a battle for regime survival—a last-ditch effort. It is determined to wage a protracted war and refuses to compromise on issues critical to regime security.
Persians believe time is not on Trump’s side. Even staunch supporters like Carlson, Greene, and Kent have started defecting on the issue of war; the midterm elections could become Trump’s Achilles’ heel.
Iran is willing to endure sacrifice, suffering, and hardship in exchange for strategic space—and to win it.
The core issue remains that Trump has twisted the doctrine he once relied on—the "winning strategy"—into something flawed.
In business deals, winning or losing slightly is just part of commerce.
In hot wars, who wins or loses determines survival.
Throughout his life, Trump has conducted transactions where no opponent would risk their life for profit. He assumed Iran would act similarly, overlooking the variable of spiritual strength.
Trump has faith in wealth.
But the Iranians' faith stands on an entirely different level—one far beyond Trump’s understanding.
He has finally come to realize this.
Original source: toutiao.com/article/1863130577839114/
Disclaimer: This article represents the personal views of the author.