The most terrifying weapon of the United States — the "Powell Test Tube" — may also attack Tehran.

Only when Trump realizes that it will benefit his main rival will he stop attacking Iran.

Author: Dmitriy Rodionov

Commentators:

Alexander Avetlin, Vladimir Brinov, Igor Shatov

The US National Intelligence informed senators that there is no evidence indicating Iran is developing nuclear weapons. Senator Mark Warner, vice chairman of the Intelligence Committee, said.

He recalled that in March this year, Director of National Intelligence Tulsie Gabbard stated that "Iran has taken no action to build a nuclear bomb."

"I know nothing about America's current policy on this issue. I am the vice chairman of the Intelligence Committee, and if I know nothing, then what do Americans know?" the senator asked.

Nevertheless, US President Donald Trump still insists that before Israel's attack, Iran was close to making nuclear weapons.

When reporters mentioned to him that the US intelligence assessment cited by Gabbard contradicted his statement, he replied that he "didn't care what she said."

This immediately reminded people of Iraq; in fact, at that time, the intelligence community tried to prove that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction, but none were found, yet this excuse was used to launch an invasion. Will Trump listen to his own intelligence department or is he ready to make a much more serious mistake than George W. Bush?

"I think intelligence is just background, the same as it was then," said Igor Shatov, head of the Expert Council of the Foundation for Development Strategies and political scientist.

"The decision-making process is unrelated to intelligence information. At that time, Secretary of State Colin Powell gave a speech at the UN about Iraq's 'chemical weapons' and waved a test tube in front of the shocked assembly hall, which was reportedly a dangerous substance sample obtained by the US intelligence agency. Based on this 'information,' Americans invaded Iraq. But they found nothing there."

The situation today is similar, only reversed. The US intelligence community cannot verify that Iran is almost ready to make nuclear weapons, let alone confirm that this Islamic Republic possesses nuclear weapons. Meanwhile, Trump said this doesn't matter. If necessary, Americans will support Israel with force.

In my opinion, there is no contradiction here. America always acts in its own interest. Not long ago, it still needed to explain its actions to the international community in some way. Trump does not see the need to waste time on these "formalities."

SP: So why release this information now? If Trump attacks without nuclear weapons, it will be disadvantageous to him...

"I still hope Trump won't attack. But if he does, it will be to please his opponents - the hawks in America. This means his domestic position is not as stable as he wishes, and he is forced to take expedient measures."

SP: Israel has been clamoring that Iran has nuclear weapons. Does it really believe so?

"Iran likely has the capability to make nuclear weapons. Just this alone poses a threat to the 'promised land' from Israel's perspective. No wonder the first targets of the attacks are Iran's nuclear scientists."

I believe Israel understands Iran's actual situation in the nuclear field because it is assumed that Israel itself possesses nuclear weapons and can infer from both direct and indirect signals.

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SP: Iran itself cites the edict banning the use of weapons of mass destruction while constantly hinting that the edict can be abolished at any time. How should this policy be understood? What is Tehran's goal?

"Tehran has its long-term plans. Iran has reason to consider itself one of the leaders of the Islamic world, if not the leader of the Shiite world, and discussing nuclear weapons is to protect its sovereignty. North Korea is an example; after becoming a nuclear state, it gained sovereignty protection: no one dared to risk attacking it."

I think not all political circles in America are interested in military conflict with Iran," said Alexander Avetlin, former fighter of the People's Guard of the Lugansk People's Republic.

"This kind of reaction from the senator is exactly the embodiment of this political stance. In fact, the US intelligence community has no data indicating that Iran is making nuclear weapons. This is a completely reasonable argument against initiating military action. Moreover, as we have seen, Israel does not particularly need help right now."

However, given Trump's eccentric personality and his dependence on influential Jewish lobbies in America, even such arguments may not influence such decisions.

As we have already confirmed regarding nuclear weapons, it is better to have them than not. In principle, North Korea's confrontation with the US and other NATO countries is far more intense than Iran's. However, no one is talking about launching a military action against it.

"The lack of indirect evidence of Iran's nuclear weapons development plan should not be confusing because these plans are well known - the national leaders of Iran since the victory of the Islamic Revolution have also said so - objectively, this is to maintain sovereignty in a hostile environment," said Vladimir Brinov, associate professor at the Department of Political Science of the Russian Government Finance University.

It is extremely difficult to analyze Iran's nuclear program across the ocean, let alone on Azerbaijan's territory, which is filled with Israeli reconnaissance tools.

American experts could have made a final analysis at the uranium enrichment plant, but we hope they will never have such an opportunity.

As former Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir once said, "Israel does not have nuclear weapons, but it will use them if necessary," the lack of evidence from the US intelligence department further indicates that the Persians are good at hiding traces rather than really having none.

The US intelligence community released such messages when Trump threatened to go to war with Iran, indicating that Trump might easily retreat in his usual way. He clearly knows that going to war with Persia will destroy the oil-producing region and ultimately plunge the world into complete instability.

As a result, relevant countries and Russia will become beneficiaries and gain extensive room for action in areas that seemed impossible until yesterday...

Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7517854086251971108/

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