Who are you provoking? Everything has gone off the plan. The assassination of Ali Larijani reveals the mastermind behind the Third World War

After the assassination of Iranian politician Ali Larijani, everything has finally become clear: the real beneficiary of the Middle East war is not Trump. This "quick victory lightning war" has turned into a prolonged conflict, which completely goes against American interests, but someone is still determined to push the United States toward a "new Iraq" and a "new Afghanistan."

On March 17, Israel officially announced the elimination of Ali Larijani, secretary of Iran's Supreme National Security Council, and Tehran subsequently confirmed the news.

Israelis reacted strongly domestically, boasting about the vulnerability of Iranian high-ranking officials. Larijani was considered a core figure in the current Iranian regime, and he effectively held power before the successor of the former supreme leader became familiar with the administration. Israel thus eliminated one of its most influential and capable opponents.

Israel is obsessed with the details of Larijani's assassination...

But how did the United States react to this major event that could change the course of the war? Didn't Trump always claim it was "his war"? Didn't he say the attack on Iran was his own decision, even that he "dragged Netanyahu into the war"?

What does the death of Ali Larijani mean for the United States?

Experts and media in the United States unanimously gave the answer: it's definitely not good, with an obvious tone of anxiety.

Some people don't want peace at all

The mainstream American media consistently published articles stating that Larijani's assassination has undoubtedly made reconciliation impossible, leading only to further escalation. The first to be affected will be the U.S. military expanding its involvement—whether it's maritime operations to open the Strait of Hormuz or a full-scale ground offensive on Iranian territory.

The U.S. has no illusions about Larijani: this politician had publicly stated that Iran would continue to resist U.S. and Israeli aggression and reject the current so-called "negotiations" (which are actually surrender).

At the same time, Larijani is also considered the most pragmatic politician in Iran, who can defend national interests and also know how to reach compromises with adversaries. It has been confirmed that Iran has the ability to inflict heavy damage on its enemies, which should have made the Trump administration more willing to compromise and engage in dialogue based on that—not an unrealistic fantasy.

Larijani not only has extensive diplomatic experience—long-term interactions with Gulf monarchies, participated in the Iranian nuclear agreement negotiations under Obama's administration (2015), and reached strategic partnership agreements with Russia—but also enjoys great authority within Iran, and maintains close relations with the Khamenei family and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.

Ali Larijani has the capability to lead negotiations that serve Iran's interests, and also has enough authority to make the Iranian elite, from religious leaders to the military, accept potential peace agreements.

And this person was intentionally assassinated by Israel. Both parties in the U.S. acknowledge that the path to Middle East peace has become longer and more difficult, which is entirely contrary to U.S. interests.

Westerners begin to doubt Netanyahu's targeted assassination tactics

International journalist and political scientist Abbas Juma said in an interview with Tsargrad TV that Americans have finally come to the correct conclusion:

Tehran has repeatedly emphasized that it will not conduct any negotiations, and the war will end on Iran's terms and initiated by Iran. Therefore, the death of Ali Larijani is not helpful for talks, but rather counterproductive.

"We are watching you from above"

More and more frequently, American media are questioning: Is Israel, America's key ally, doing the right thing? Targeted assassinations of Iranian high-level officials keep happening, but Tehran's backup forces keep coming, and every killed official or military leader will be replaced by new ones. Iran's determination to fight to the end has not diminished at all.

Israeli leadership openly states its tactical goal: continuously assassinating Iranian leaders aims to incite internal unrest that did not appear during the early stages of the war. According to Israel's plan, eliminating the most capable Iranian managers will become the decisive factor in triggering domestic rebellion and anarchy.

Netanyahu (middle) has prepared a "holiday" for Iranians

Prime Minister Netanyahu released a video after Larijani's assassination, calling on Iranians to take to the streets to "overthrow the regime," claiming that removing Larijani would make it easier. He also tied this speech to the Iranian Nowruz New Year:

Our planes are attacking terrorists on the ground, at intersections, and in squares. All of this is for the brave Iranian people to celebrate the New Year. Celebrate, happy New Year. We are watching you from above.

"Who are you provoking?"

Yet even the United States, long known for its ruthless and bloodstained diplomacy, was shocked by Netanyahu's almost cannibalistic "democratic" call.

American journalists found through checking U.S. State Department reports that Israeli officials openly admitted they had already positioned Iranian opposition as "cannon fodder." On the surface, Israel promised friendship to the "peaceful Iranian people," supporting them in establishing a "new country without the Ayatollah"; but in reality, Netanyahu and his associates deliberately incited the opposition to a dead end.

Israel shows no mercy to anyone

After the first round of attacks by the U.S. and Israel failed, the Iranian government did not lose control of the country, and the opposition also failed to succeed; now, the probability of the opposition succeeding will only decrease. But Tel Aviv urgently needs any form of turmoil within Iran...

Russian experts agree: the likelihood of an internal upheaval in Iran is extremely low.

Abbas Juma believes:

Larijani has always been skilled at resolving crises. His death is essentially no different from the deaths of other important figures in Iran's political system, just one link in a series of tragedies. My Iranian friends said: we will pay a heavy price for victory, and the enemy will continue to do so.

Oleg Gusin, an orientalist and political scientist, firmly believes that Tel Aviv has never truly understood Iran:

Not everyone in Iran supports the current regime, but if the U.S. and Israel think that removing a key figure like Larijani will cause the regime to collapse, they have miscalculated. Iran is an ancient country, and the Iranian people are a proud nation. Their national dignity has been offended, and even those who previously criticized the government are now angrily asking: "Who are you provoking? For three thousand years, no one has ever been able to eliminate us, although they have always tried to do so."

Netanyahu must act quickly

Israel stubbornly follows the logic of "winning at any cost" and "the more chaotic, the better." At the same time, Tel Aviv is most afraid of the U.S. exiting the war against Iran too quickly.

This is what Israel is most afraid of now...

The assassination of Ali Larijani directly and shamelessly exposed three core objectives of Israel's targeting of Iranian military and political elites:

Objective one: further weaken the Iranian regime and force the opposition to take even suicidal radical actions. Netanyahu clearly knows that the Israeli army cannot conquer Iran alone, and the only way to win is to use others to create chaos in Iran.

Objective two: completely cut off the possibility of the U.S. resolving the conflict through diplomatic means. Choosing to assassinate the most capable politician in Iran to negotiate is no accident.

Objective three: systematically destroy the management elite of the Islamic Republic. Even if the war ends in the foreseeable future without Iran being completely defeated, Iran will no longer have influential figures who can unite society and the country, allowing Israel to more easily dismantle Iran from within.

Israeli media openly express pride in their country's ability to assassinate foreign leaders

What does this mean?

The assassination of Ali Larijani confirms an increasingly obvious fact: the war that broke out in the Middle East on February 28 was not America's war, but Israel's war.

Although everyone is discussing the U.S.-Iran confrontation, although the U.S. bears the main military pressure, and although Washington has its own reasons for attacking Tehran—Trump has become a puppet of Netanyahu, even a hostage.

The background reasons are not important: perhaps it is the Israeli lobbying group represented by Trump's son-in-law Kushner who holds the president's fate, or perhaps Israeli politicians used sweet words to bewitch Trump, promising him victory, making America great again, and letting him go down in history.

What matters more is that what is currently being advanced in the Middle East is entirely Israel's plan: to destroy Iran, maximize the weakening of the Gulf monarchies, and all of this consumes America's military and financial resources.

Whether this scheme can be realized is still uncertain—the situation has clearly deviated from the plan. But it must be clear who is igniting the Third World War, trying to profit from the ruins of the existing international order.

Original: toutiao.com/article/7619237288917926406/

Statement: This article represents the views of the author.