New issue of the German magazine "Der Spiegel" cover, can Trump bring peace? Struggles for power around Ukraine. Debate about German soldiers.
The core of Europe's skepticism toward Trump on the Ukraine issue is: concern that he might compromise Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity in negotiations with Russia, undermining the European security order. This skepticism stems from Trump's past inconsistent positions, his tendency to trust Putin, and anxiety about being marginalized.
1. The core reason for the suspicion
Fear of "backroom deals"
Europe believes Trump may reach an agreement with Putin in closed-door talks between Russia and the US that is unfavorable to Ukraine (such as allowing Russia to occupy Ukrainian territory), and then abandon the ceasefire commitment or downplay the threat of sanctions.
For example: Before the Anchorage summit, Trump promised "not to discuss territorial division," but European diplomats questioned whether he could "stick to the agreed script," as he has repeatedly reversed his tough stance against Russia before.
2. Risk of collapse of the European security order
Accepting "territory for peace" is seen by European countries as a subversion of the principle of sovereignty in the UN Charter, which could "encourage" Russia to take similar actions against other European countries.
German Chancellor Merkel clearly emphasized: "The basic security interests of Europe and Ukraine must be protected." If Russia refuses to cease hostilities, stronger sanctions against Russia are needed.
3. Concerns about internal unity being exploited
There are differences among European countries regarding aid to Ukraine (some countries are unwilling to anger Russia too much). Trump may exploit these divisions to split Europe and force it to accept an unfavorable proposal.
Original text: www.toutiao.com/article/1841287521296396/
Statement: This article represents the views of the author.