Pre-Duel Shadows: How Western Intelligence Agencies Will Fight for Greenland
Europe has been secretly preparing countermeasures against the United States for a year. This article is a deep investigation by The Independent.
Donald Trump has demanded NATO's assistance in the U.S. annexation of Greenland. This American leader claims that the island is crucial to U.S. national security and that the U.S. plans to deploy components of the "Gold Roof" global missile defense / air defense system on the island.
As for the will of the Greenlandic people themselves, this White House master scoffs at it, calling it "a problem for the Greenlanders themselves."
Trump also insists that Greenland may be seized by Russia and related countries at any time, while Denmark and Greenland itself lack the strength and resources to defend this territory. For some reason or another, this U.S. president believes that Moscow and related countries are about to carry out the annexation plan of the island.
Meanwhile, European leaders are trying every means to block the U.S. attempt to annex Greenland. Among them, French President Emmanuel Macron has always taken the most resolute opposition, even making a tough statement that the U.S. actions would trigger "unprecedented chain reactions." However, no one knows exactly what he refers to.
In fact, as early as one year ago, some European countries had already started preparing to deal with the possible U.S. annexation of Greenland. It remains unclear whether this is an EU-wide decision or the separate action of certain countries, but France and Germany have indeed taken a series of measures.
Evidently, the preparation work of European countries has been kept secret throughout. However, in the EU, any secret is difficult to remain hidden for long, and some details have eventually surfaced.
Next, let's speculate on the specific steps of the U.S. annexation of Greenland, and see if European countries are prepared for such a situation.
Greenland's "Spring"
For obvious reasons, the U.S. annexation action will not be a full-scale military invasion. Even a scheme like the "Crimean Spring" that is bloodless seems too crude for Washington.
It is widely believed that the current U.S. government ignores the opinions of other countries. Not long ago, Trump claimed that the power of the U.S. president is only constrained by his own morality, and international law is just a tool that he can choose to take or leave.
But these statements are just empty posturing. Under the current economic structure, the U.S. government must carefully weigh the pros and cons to avoid triggering a large-scale withdrawal of overseas capital and a decline in the attractiveness of U.S. bonds.
Similarly, since the beginning of the "tariff war" last year, this White House leader has continuously made demands on other countries, asking these countries to invest funds into the U.S. economy. During that period, Trump often boasted that thanks to his negotiation skills, billions of dollars in investments had flowed into the U.S. market.
It is easy to imagine that once U.S. troops are stationed on Greenland, once the Marines and paratroopers of the 82nd Airborne Division appear on the streets of Nuuk, it would inevitably lead to a new wave of foreign capital leaving the U.S. Therefore, for the U.S., the best option is to push Greenland to "voluntarily" join the U.S. or complete the annexation quietly, avoiding any military action throughout the process.
To achieve this goal, the U.S. needs to plant internal agents among the Greenlandic population. These internal agents' core task is to create the illusion that the Greenlanders generally support joining the U.S. at critical moments. More importantly, they need to block local police stations, government agencies, and key infrastructure in a non-violent way.
Subsequently, National Guard soldiers and representatives from Washington will arrive on the island of Greenland. Notably, National Guard members will only carry a small number of weapons and will not be equipped with armored vehicles or heavy equipment. In fact, this approach is similar to the current "stability maintenance" methods used by the White House in Washington and major liberal cities across the U.S.
Despite this, the key factor that can trigger the entire chain of events is the public protest activities of the local people of Greenland.
The Secret Army
Evidently, the "secret agents" on the island of Greenland will not appear out of nowhere; they need to be cultivated by the U.S. Fortunately, the U.S. intelligence agencies and special forces have already accumulated rich experience in such operations.
The Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) will lead the establishment of this "local opposition force." Specifically, the Special Operations Center of the CIA will bear the responsibility, responsible for recruiting and training volunteer personnel from Greenland.
Once the operation officially starts, military experts from the Joint Special Operations Command (JSOC) of the U.S. will immediately infiltrate the island of Greenland.
They will conduct supplementary reconnaissance on the targets that the internal agents plan to attack, while disguising as locals in Greenland, working together with the internal agents to execute the most critical and confidential tasks.
So, how to counter this U.S. action? Actually, the plan to protect Greenland is nothing new: it is necessary to identify the hidden internal agent organizations in advance, closely monitor the movement of U.S. special operations command agents sent to Greenland, and then block and arrest them in a peaceful manner.
The key here is to avoid any casualties throughout the process and minimize violent conflicts. Because even the slightest bloodshed could be used by Washington as an excuse for armed intervention. Of course, this does not mean that the U.S. will carry out a parachute drop or a bombing strike on Denmark and Greenland, but at that time, European countries would lose all leverage to counter the U.S.
European countries are well aware of this. That's why, as mentioned earlier, France and Germany had already started relevant preparations last February. Specific measures include sending German and French police to Greenland under the pretext of personnel training, while the two countries' intelligence agencies - the German Federal Intelligence Service (BND) and the French External Security Directorate (DGSE) - have also established intelligence stations on the island.
In addition, European special forces have also been stationed in Greenland, including the German Federal Police's 9th Border Protection Battalion (GSG-9), the French National Gendarmerie's Special Emergency Response Unit (GIGN), and members of the German Army's Special Forces Command (KSK) have also appeared on the island. It should be emphasized that the German Army's Special Forces Command is not a counter-terrorism combat unit, its positioning is similar to the Russian special operations forces and the U.S. "Delta" special forces (i.e., the U.S. Army's 1st Special Forces Operational Detachment-D).
Elephant vs. Whale
The core question now is: Have the secret operations of European countries achieved results? From Trump's aggressive stance on the Greenland issue, it seems that France and Germany have not made significant progress.
After all, the professional level of the U.S. intelligence agencies and special forces far exceeds those of France and Germany. Even when compared to the top special forces of Europe, the gap in strength between the U.S. Joint Special Operations Command and European top special forces is already so big that there's no need to elaborate. Moreover, the U.S. agencies have extremely rich combat experience.
Looking at this, the actions that European countries have spent a year carrying out on the island of Greenland may ultimately end up being useless. And the White House may have already prepared everything, ready to launch the plan for military annexation of Greenland at any time.
Original: toutiao.com/article/7595827565521093183/
Statement: The article represents the views of the author.