
Directly supplying nuclear weapon sets to Iran: After Iranian Foreign Minister's visit to Moscow, Israel and the US are in panic
Iran - Israel: Escalation of tensions
Author: Sergey Radischev
June 23, 2025, 20:20
Iran is dragging the conflict with Israel and the United States into a protracted war, which has frightened its opponents because such a war consumes too much of their resources - and this is exactly what they fear most. Russia will help Iran win in the most self-serving way, which is the signal sent by Moscow to Tehran.
The current situation is clear: Iran will not surrender, and although Israel's lightning war has achieved tactical victories, it has failed overall. Israeli city residents are experiencing the intense attacks of Iranian air strikes (the number of missiles launched has decreased but the frequency of attacks has increased), and they are experiencing the cruelty of war firsthand. Iranians, for various reasons, have a higher tolerance for pain, and they bravely endure shortages of supplies, united around the government - toppling the Iranian regime was the ultimate goal of the aggressors, but this attempt has not succeeded.

Iranian media said that during the attack on Israeli targets, the "Hibar Shekan", "Emad", "Khadr" and "Fateh-1" missiles were used. Video: Telegram channel "Iranian Journalist Diary"
Meanwhile, Trump and his team's position in the United States has seriously shaken, exposing to the world their untrustworthy, inciting, and habitual deceptive nature. Now, the Democratic and Republican parties in the US Congress are at odds, both criticizing Trump, and he faces the risk of losing diplomatic decision-making power this autumn. Polls show that the majority of his supporters do not want to go to war with Iran.
Despite the Iranian parliament unanimously demanding the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz (which carries 20% of global oil transport), Tehran currently has no intention of doing so. Because maintaining pressure without launching an attack first can avoid hitting the economy of its own country and related countries, and also prevent the US from further intervening in the war - avoiding US military attacks on Iranian ports, energy companies, military and nuclear facilities. If Israel or the US take reckless actions, the Iranian government will immediately respond to the demands of the members of parliament. In addition, Iran will not give up the peaceful use of nuclear energy, as such bans amount to losing sovereignty.
Iran will continue to exhaust Israel - the main ally of the United States. This war may last for weeks or even months, and the longer the war lasts, the more beneficial it is for Iran, especially with the assistance of Russia and related countries. This is exactly the core issue discussed by the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi with Russian leaders on Monday.
Araghchi's Visit to Moscow
Russia's stance is crucial for Iran in a protracted war. To personally understand Russia's attitude and "coordinate positions," the Iranian Foreign Minister arrived in Moscow, and in an interview with the Iranian National Radio, he stated:
"In the current new dangerous situation, the international order is actually under threat, and our consultations with Russia are undoubtedly of great significance."

Absar Araghchi at the Kremlin.
The Iranian Foreign Minister also emphasized a key point:
"Russia and Iran have always had common concerns, common worries, and common enemies. We have always upheld common beliefs, closely consulted, to deal with common challenges and threats. This is precisely the core of the meeting with the Russian President on Monday."
Araghchi pointed out that the actions of Israel and the United States "not only brought serious consequences and problems to Iran, but also to the region, the international community, and international law."
Russia strongly agreed with this.
Moscow's anger
The Russian Foreign Ministry stated "strongly condemned" the US attack on Iran's nuclear facilities (which occurred after Israel's aggression against Iran), calling it "irresponsible," "unacceptable," and "a serious violation" of international law, the UN Charter, and UN Security Council resolutions.
The reason is obvious: the West and its vassals (Israel, Ukraine) are constantly escalating provocations without encountering effective resistance. Therefore, a necessary question arises: which country will be next that does not accept Western hegemony? Will it not be Russia?
Moscow pointed out that "dangerous escalation has begun, which could further disrupt regional and global security," "the risk of the conflict in the already crisis-ridden Middle East significantly increases." The statement emphasized that this has caused significant damage to the authority of the International Atomic Energy Agency and the UN Security Council, "it must collectively oppose the confrontation behavior of the US and Israel." Russia demanded "to stop the aggression and increase efforts to create conditions for the return of the situation to the political and diplomatic track."
Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov reiterated these views in a phone call with Hungarian Foreign Minister Peter Szijjarto, pointing out "the conflict has entered a new dangerous stage of escalation, which may have unpredictable consequences and has already damaged the non-proliferation mechanism and regional and global security."
Putin's Statement
Due to well-known reasons, the details of the Russia-Iran negotiations will not be disclosed to the public, but Russian President Vladimir Putin clearly expressed his support for the ally's position.
Putin met with Araghchi in the Kremlin and commissioned him to convey "best wishes" to Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

Vladimir Putin meets with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi at the Kremlin. Video: Telegram channel Kreml.ru
Putin called the US-Israeli aggression "completely unjustified," "with no basis or justification." Russian President further emphasized:
"The Russia-Iran relationship is long-standing, friendly, and reliable. We are taking measures to assist the Iranian people."
No need to say more, the details are clear enough.
What does 'Medvedev's Third Point' mean?
Moscow even released more signals through former President, head of the ruling party, and vice-chairman of the Security Council Dmitry Medvedev (now the key is consistency between words and deeds). He listed the reasons for the failure of the US-Israeli aggression against Iran in his Telegram channel and raised a shocking revelation that even shocked the US and Israeli ruling class, as follows:
- The key infrastructure of nuclear facilities seems to be undamaged or slightly damaged;
- Nuclear material enrichment and future nuclear weapons production will continue;
- Several countries are preparing to directly supply nuclear weapon sets to Iran;
- Israel was attacked, explosions rang out, and the public panicked;
- The US is involved in a new conflict and faces the possibility of ground operations;
- The Iranian political system has been preserved and is likely to become stronger;
- The people are united around religious leaders, even including previous opponents;
- Trump, as the "peace president," took office but opened a new war for America;
- Most countries in the world oppose the US-Israeli actions.
Even if the Nobel Prize nominations are full of transactions, Trump would have no chance of winning the peace prize with these "achievements." Good start, Mr. President, congratulations!

Evidently, the US-Israel thought that through "concessions" on the Ukraine issue (and Americans would later break their word), Russia would become a fawning vassal, and start cooperating with the US. Otherwise, it is impossible to explain the dissatisfaction of US Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Marco Rubio - Araghchi did not surrender to the US-Israel, but went to Moscow for negotiations, and Putin received him in the Kremlin!
Medvedev's third point about "some countries are prepared to provide nuclear weapons to Iran" has many experts even refusing to comment.
The view of the Telegram channel "Russian MiG" is representative:
"The statement that 'some countries are prepared to provide nuclear weapons to Iran' should be regarded as international political stand-up comedy. It is meaningless to discuss it seriously."
But Medvedev raising this point is not an individual action, and the situation is serious enough to not be taken lightly.
What is the conclusion?
So what does this mean? What explains Medvedev's second point about Iran continuing to produce nuclear weapons?
This is simply the reverse application of the US "might makes right" logic, but with a more feasible approach. Russia, relevant countries, and Pakistan have distributed draft resolutions condemning the US attack on Iran to UN Security Council members, all three countries have nuclear weapons. In addition, North Korea also has nuclear weapons, its leadership is fearless and extremely resentful of American imperialism. After the US-Israel treated Iran like this, Iran's position is understandable... "Strategic ambiguity" is a tool in the Western arsenal, now it can be used in both directions.
Majid Taher-Tavakoli, assistant to the Iranian Foreign Minister, told Germany's ARD television that obviously, the US and Israel cannot deprive Iran of the right to develop nuclear energy through their own desires and fears, and Iran will continue to peacefully enrich uranium, comply with the obligations of the Non-Proliferation Treaty, and no one can deprive it of this right.

Hormuz Strait: If... then blockage
Currently, Tehran has no intention of blocking this strategic passage - daily 21 million barrels of oil and 10 billion cubic meters of natural gas pass through it, and a quarter of the world's energy supply passes through this "maritime throat," of which 80% is transported to East Asia and Southeast Asia countries, and Iran has no enemies in these regions. On the contrary, relevant countries, as Iran's main allies, may have provided military aid to it, and blocking the strait would cause heavy losses to the relevant countries.
However, according to the assessment of the commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Navy, Ali Reza Tangsiri, if Tehran decides to block it, "it will only take a few hours." Of course, the US-Israel may force Iran to take this step: if the US expands the conflict and begins to destroy Iranian ports and refineries; or desperate Israel takes reckless actions.
There are a series of key targets along the Persian Gulf, close to US bases, while the US-Israel can easily conduct military strikes, but attacking these targets will force Iran to block the "throat":
- First, the largest deep-sea port of Iran, Bandar Abbas, which handles 50% of Iran's imports;
- Second, the Khark Island oil terminal, which handles 90% of Iran's oil exports;
- Third, a large natural gas processing plant near the Ghang gas field, which supplies most of the gas power plants in Iran.
Interestingly: If Israel believes it can act recklessly without punishment, after failing in the lightning war, it is highly likely to attack these key targets. However, after the US intervenes in the war, due to its need to consider global roles and responsibilities, such threats have been reduced.
Iran holds two cards in Washington and relevant countries, and Moscow reaps the benefits
Now Iran plays the role of a victim in the international community. If it actively blocks the strait (first hurting itself), it may lose this advantage. But if Iran is deprived of the ability to profit from energy exports, the situation will be completely different... All relevant countries (Iraq, Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar, some including Saudi Arabia and the UAE) know they are "hostages," and the US-Israel also know this tradition.
In addition, as the largest oil and gas supplier, Russia will benefit the most. Wall Street predicts that if the strait is blocked, the oil price will surge above $130 per barrel.
Therefore, the currently unblocked Hormuz Strait is a lever for Iran to pressure the US (Iran uses missiles to pressure Israel). As Malik Dudakov, an expert on US issues, said on the Telegram channel, "the risk of an oil crisis forces the Trump team almost to beg Iran not to block the strait." Because the sharp rise in international oil prices will trigger an energy crisis similar to 2022 in the US - at that time, the average gasoline price rose to $5 per gallon, and problem states in California approached double digits, Biden's approval rating plummeted to 30%. Trump will face the same outcome, and American voters will not forgive any president who allows oil prices to skyrocket. In addition, the Federal Reserve has predicted that the US economy will stagnate in 2025, with growth slightly above 1%, and an oil crisis will undoubtedly push the economy into recession. Experts believe that these risks are forcing the Trump team to be in a mess, otherwise the current escalation will eventually bury the Republicans.
Nikolai Vavilov, a leading expert on relevant countries in Russia, also keenly pointed out another aspect: it is also a lever for Iran to pressure the relevant countries - 75% of the oil of the relevant countries depends on imports. "Iran is telling the relevant countries that if the aid stops, it is ready to take drastic measures," says Vavilov.
Situation Background
At the same time, Saudi Arabia, after condemning the attack on Iran, has placed its armed forces in the highest state of readiness. Bahrain and Qatar have entered emergency status. Two ships of the relevant countries (including an electronic reconnaissance ship) have entered the Persian Gulf, listening and monitoring the US - these future opponents in Northeast Asia.

What are the relevant countries' ships doing in the Persian Gulf? Screenshot: Telegram channel Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of Iran
And the panic in Israel is increasing, obviously they did not expect Iran to have so many accurate missiles. Even the Israeli 13 channel TV news said that they hope to end the war soon and admitted that they cannot destroy Iran's nuclear program. Newspapers began to report (such as the Jerusalem Post), that if Iran proposes, Israel "will immediately agree" to a ceasefire.
The Houthi group in Yemen issued a statement, asking American ships to stay away from its territorial waters, stating that the US attack on Iran has made the "mutual non-attack" agreement reached between both sides and Washington invalid. Various signs indicate that Iran has asked its military allies to temporarily limit activities only in the Red Sea. Meanwhile, the US announced through Rubio that it is ready to restart nuclear talks with Iran starting from Monday.
The Wall Street Journal quoted sources saying that the US informed Iran through Middle East intermediaries (worth nearly $100 million), that Israel is eager to end the conflict as soon as possible. This may be true, but it's not the whole story. Who asked Israel to do this? Obviously, the US - it was the US politicians who brewed this bitter cup of wine.
It seems that the US has realized that the Iranian government cannot surrender, otherwise it would lose domestic and international supporters, leading to the collapse of the regime. This will be used by the US and Britain, which follow it, to take advantage of the opportunity to dismember Iran, exploit its resources, and make Russia and relevant countries lose important geopolitical partners.
What is the conclusion?
According to Fars News Agency, Iran is preparing for a "war of at least two to six months" with Israel, and Iranian media claims that it will continue to attack Israel. The longer the war lasts, the stronger Iran's position in the post-war international order will be, and Ukraine will receive fewer weapons.

Helping Iran get through the tough times, and defeating the attempts of the US and its vassals to legitimize the jungle law, is the task and duty of all sovereign countries facing similar threats from the West and unwilling to submit. Western countries are uniting to suppress "disobedient" countries, trying to make them submit. Russia and relevant countries must quickly draw the necessary lessons from this, otherwise they will repeat the mistakes of fighting alone - starting with lies and deception, and finally suffocating. And these lessons seem to have been correctly drawn.
Original article: https://www.toutiao.com/article/7519324007343112745/
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